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USA USA USL Championship · Матч ·

Сакраменто Репаблик vs ФК Род-Айленд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сакраменто РепабликФК Род-Айленд
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше69% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 32% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Род-Айленд win (28.7%)Двойной шанс1X71.3%1.40
Больше 31% · Меньше 69%Goals 2.5Меньше69%1.45
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
1.95 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сакраменто Репаблик win39%2.56
Ничья32%3.13
ФК Род-Айленд win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сакраменто Репаблик1.12

Хозяева share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 31% · Меньше 69%

ФК Род-Айленд0.83

Гости share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сакраменто Репаблик

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Род-Айленд

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
0.83
Сакраменто РепабликФК Род-Айленд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сакраменто Репаблик signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Род-Айленд signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Сакраменто Репаблик vs ФК Род-Айленд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сакраменто Репаблик выигрыш 39%,Ничья 32%,ФК Род-Айленд выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · ТБ 2.5 31% · Current selection Меньше