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USA USA USL Championship · Αγώνας ·

Σακραμέντο Ριπάμπλικ vs Ρόουντ Άιλαντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία32%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Σακραμέντο ΡιπάμπλικΡόουντ Άιλαντ
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω69% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 32% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ρόουντ Άιλαντ win (28.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X71.3%1.40
Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%Goals 2.5Κάτω69%1.45
Ναι 38% · Όχι 62%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62%1.61
1.95 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σακραμέντο Ριπάμπλικ win39%2.56
Ισοπαλία32%3.13
Ρόουντ Άιλαντ win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σακραμέντο Ριπάμπλικ1.12

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%

Ρόουντ Άιλαντ0.83

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 38% · Όχι 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σακραμέντο Ριπάμπλικ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ρόουντ Άιλαντ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
0.83
Σακραμέντο ΡιπάμπλικΡόουντ Άιλαντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σακραμέντο Ριπάμπλικ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ρόουντ Άιλαντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Σακραμέντο Ριπάμπλικ vs Ρόουντ Άιλαντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σακραμέντο Ριπάμπλικ νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 32%,Ρόουντ Άιλαντ νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Άνω 2.5 31% · Current selection Κάτω