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USA USA USL Championship · Meci ·

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde39%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sacramento RepublicRhode Island FC
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub69% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
39% / 32% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rhode Island FC win (28.7%)Șansă dublă1X71.3%1.40
Peste 31% · Sub 69%Goals 2.5Sub69%1.45
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
1.95 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Sacramento Republic win39%2.56
Egal32%3.13
Rhode Island FC win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sacramento Republic1.12

Gazde share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 31% · Sub 69%

Rhode Island FC0.83

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Rhode Island FC

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
0.83
Sacramento RepublicRhode Island FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sacramento Republic signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rhode Island FC signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sacramento Republic câștig 39%,Egal 32%,Rhode Island FC câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Peste 2.5 31% · Current selection Sub