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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

Црвена Звезда vs ФК Нови-Пазар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев83%
Ничья11%
Победа гостей6%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев83% selection probability
Projected score3–1Црвена ЗвездаФК Нови-Пазар
Expected goals3.67Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше71% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
83% / 11% / 6%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Нови-Пазар win (5.5%)Двойной шанс1X94.5%1.06
Больше 71% · Меньше 29%Goals 2.5Больше71%1.41
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
3.67 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapЦрвена Звезда winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Црвена Звезда win83%1.201.1183.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья11%9.098.5010.9%+0.1 pp
ФК Нови-Пазар win6%16.6717.005.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Црвена Звезда2.94

Хозяева share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.67Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 71% · Меньше 29%

ФК Нови-Пазар0.73

Гости share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Црвена Звезда

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Нови-Пазар

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.94
Expected goals
0.73
Црвена ЗвездаФК Нови-Пазар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Црвена Звезда signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Нови-Пазар signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Црвена Звезда vs ФК Нови-Пазар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Црвена Звезда выигрыш 83%,Ничья 11%,ФК Нови-Пазар выигрыш 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · ТБ 2.5 71% · Current selection Больше