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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

Младост Лучани vs ФК Чукарички

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Младост ЛучаниФК Чукарички
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 33% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.6%)Двойной шанс1267.4%1.48
Больше 33% · Меньше 67%Goals 2.5Меньше67%1.49
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.03 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapМладост Лучани winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Младост Лучани win34%2.942.7034.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp
ФК Чукарички win33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Младост Лучани0.87

Хозяева share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 33% · Меньше 67%

ФК Чукарички1.16

Гости share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Младост Лучани

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Чукарички

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.87
Expected goals
1.16
Младост ЛучаниФК Чукарички
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Младост Лучани signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Чукарички signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Младост Лучани vs ФК Чукарички FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Младост Лучани выигрыш 34%,Ничья 33%,ФК Чукарички выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · ТБ 2.5 33% · Current selection Меньше