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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

Mladost Lucani vs FK Cukaricki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg34%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mladost LucaniFK Cukaricki
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
34% / 33% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.6%)Doppelte Chance1267.4%1.48
Über 33% · Unter 67%Goals 2.5Unter67%1.49
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
2.03 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapMladost Lucani winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mladost Lucani win34%2.942.7034.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp
FK Cukaricki win33%3.032.8832.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mladost Lucani0.87

Heim share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 33% · Unter 67%

FK Cukaricki1.16

Auswärts share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mladost Lucani

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Cukaricki

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.87
Expected goals
1.16
Mladost LucaniFK Cukaricki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mladost Lucani signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Cukaricki signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Mladost Lucani vs FK Cukaricki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mladost Lucani Gewinn 34%,Unentschieden 33%,FK Cukaricki Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Über 2.5 33% · Current selection Unter