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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit83%
Viik11%
Võõrsilvõit6%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit83% selection probability
Projected score3–1Crvena ZvezdaFK Novi Pazar
Expected goals3.67Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle71% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
83% / 11% / 6%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Novi Pazar win (5.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X94.5%1.06
Üle 71% · Alla 29%Goals 2.5Üle71%1.41
Jah 49% · Ei 51%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi51%1.96
3.67 total expected goalsTäpne skoor3–1
9.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapCrvena Zvezda winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crvena Zvezda win83%1.201.1183.6%-0.6 pp
Viik11%9.098.5010.9%+0.1 pp
FK Novi Pazar win6%16.6717.005.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crvena Zvezda2.94

Kodu share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.67Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 71% · Alla 29%

FK Novi Pazar0.73

Võõras share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJah 49% · Ei 51%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Crvena Zvezda

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FK Novi Pazar

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Võit probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.94
Expected goals
0.73
Crvena ZvezdaFK Novi Pazar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crvena Zvezda signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Novi Pazar signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 11%.

Match questions

Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 3–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crvena Zvezda võit 83%,Viik 11%,FK Novi Pazar võit 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Üle 2.5 71% · Current selection Üle