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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Final ·

Ботев Враца vs Ботев Пловдив

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев23%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей51%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ботев ВрацаБотев Пловдив
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
23% / 26% / 51%Исход матчаПобеда гостей51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботев Враца win (23%)Двойной шансX277%1.30
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapБотев Пловдив winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ботев Враца win23%4.354.2022.2%+0.8 pp
Ничья26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Ботев Пловдив win51%1.961.8051.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботев Враца1.07

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Ботев Пловдив1.20

Гости share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ботев Враца

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ботев Пловдив

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
51%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.07
Expected goals
1.20
Ботев ВрацаБотев Пловдив
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботев Враца signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботев Пловдив signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ботев Враца vs Ботев Пловдив FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботев Враца выигрыш 23%,Ничья 26%,Ботев Пловдив выигрыш 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше