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BGR Bulgária - 1.ª Liga · Final ·

Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–0Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa23%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante51%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botev VratsaBotev Plovdiv
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
23% / 26% / 51%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (23%)Dupla ChanceX277%1.30
Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%Goals 2.5Abaixo61%1.64
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapBotev Plovdiv winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botev Vratsa win23%4.354.2022.2%+0.8 pp
Empate26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Botev Plovdiv win51%1.961.8051.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botev Vratsa1.07

Mandante share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%

Botev Plovdiv1.20

Visitante share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
51%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.07
Expected goals
1.20
Botev VratsaBotev Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botev Vratsa signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Plovdiv signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botev Vratsa ganhou 23%,Empate 26%,Botev Plovdiv ganhou 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Acima 2.5 39% · Current selection Abaixo