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BGR Bulgaria First League · Final ·

Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–0Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier23%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier51%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botev VratsaBotev Plovdiv
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
23% / 26% / 51%KampresultatBorteseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (23%)Dobbel sjanseX277%1.30
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapBotev Plovdiv winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botev Vratsa win23%4.354.2022.2%+0.8 pp
Uavgjort26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Botev Plovdiv win51%1.961.8051.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botev Vratsa1.07

Hjemme share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Botev Plovdiv1.20

Borte share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
51%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.07
Expected goals
1.20
Botev VratsaBotev Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botev Vratsa signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Plovdiv signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botev Vratsa vunnet 23%,Uavgjort 26%,Botev Plovdiv vunnet 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under