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BGR България - Първа Лига · Final ·

Ботев Враца vs Ботев Пловдив

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–0Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина23%
Равен26%
Победа за госта51%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ботев ВрацаБотев Пловдив
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
23% / 26% / 51%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботев Враца win (23%)Двоен шансX277%1.30
Над 39% · Под 61%Goals 2.5Под61%1.64
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapБотев Пловдив winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ботев Враца win23%4.354.2022.2%+0.8 pp
Равен26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Ботев Пловдив win51%1.961.8051.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботев Враца1.07

Домакин share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 39% · Под 61%

Ботев Пловдив1.20

Гост share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ботев Враца

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ботев Пловдив

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
51%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.07
Expected goals
1.20
Ботев ВрацаБотев Пловдив
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботев Враца signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботев Пловдив signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ботев Враца vs Ботев Пловдив FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботев Враца печеливш 23%,Равен 26%,Ботев Пловдив печеливш 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Над 2.5 39% · Current selection Под