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FRA Franta - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Montpellier vs Dijon

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți34%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MontpellierDijon
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 27% / 34%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Șansă dublă1273.4%1.36
Peste 47% · Sub 53%Goals 2.5Sub53%1.89
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Montpellier win40%2.50
Egal27%3.70
Dijon win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montpellier1.34

Gazde share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 47% · Sub 53%

Dijon1.21

Oaspeți share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Montpellier

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Dijon

2.00pts / match
Jucate4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Puncte8

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.34
Expected goals
1.21
MontpellierDijon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montpellier signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dijon signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Montpellier vs Dijon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montpellier câștig 40%,Egal 27%,Dijon câștig 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Peste 2.5 47% · Current selection Sub