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FRA Франция - Лига 2 · Round 1 ·

Монпелье vs Дижон

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей34%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1МонпельеДижон
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 27% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Двойной шанс1273.4%1.36
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Монпелье win40%2.50
Ничья27%3.70
Дижон win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монпелье1.34

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Дижон1.21

Гости share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Монпелье

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Дижон

2.00pts / match
Сыграно4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Баллы8

SignalГости unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.34
Expected goals
1.21
МонпельеДижон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монпелье signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Дижон signalГости unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Монпелье vs Дижон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монпелье выигрыш 40%,Ничья 27%,Дижон выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше