Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Montpellier win40%2.50
Draw27%3.70
Dijon win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.5%
Total expected goals2.55Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 47.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMontpellier
WLWDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchDijon
DWWD
Played4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8
SignalAway unbeaten 4/4
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%7
Points from supplied form
81.34
Expected goals
1.21MontpellierDijon
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Montpellier vs Dijon FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Montpellier win 40%，Draw 27%，Dijon win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。