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FRA Francia - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Montpellier vs Digione

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite34%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MontpellierDigione
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 27% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Doppia Chance1273.4%1.36
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Montpellier win40%2.50
Pareggio27%3.70
Digione win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montpellier1.34

Casa share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

Digione1.21

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Montpellier

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Digione

2.00pts / match
Giocate4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Punti8

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.34
Expected goals
1.21
MontpellierDigione
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montpellier signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Digione signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Montpellier vs Digione FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montpellier vinta 40%,Pareggio 27%,Digione vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto