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FRA Francia - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Boulogne vs Nancy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BoulogneNancy
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 30% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Doppia Chance1270.2%1.42
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnano50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Boulogne win37%2.70
Pareggio30%3.33
Nancy win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boulogne1.29

Casa share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Nancy1.16

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Boulogne

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Nancy

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.29
Expected goals
1.16
BoulogneNancy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boulogne signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nancy signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Boulogne vs Nancy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boulogne vinta 37%,Pareggio 30%,Nancy vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto