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FRA Francja - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Boulogne vs Nancy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BoulogneNancy
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 30% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Podwójna szansa1270.2%1.42
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląTak50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Boulogne win37%2.70
Remis30%3.33
Nancy win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boulogne1.29

Gospodarze share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Nancy1.16

Goście share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Boulogne

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Nancy

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.29
Expected goals
1.16
BoulogneNancy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boulogne signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nancy signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Boulogne vs Nancy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boulogne wygrana 37%,Remis 30%,Nancy wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej