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FRA France Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Pau vs Annecy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw25%
Away win48%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score1–2PauAnnecy
Expected goals3.51Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 25% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Pau win27%3.70
Draw25%4.00
Annecy win48%2.08

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pau1.38

Home share of expected goals 39.3%

Total expected goals3.51Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Annecy2.13

Away share of expected goals 60.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pau

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Annecy

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.38
Expected goals
2.13
PauAnnecy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pau signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Annecy signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pau vs Annecy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pau win 27%,Draw 25%,Annecy win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over