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FRA Franta - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Pau vs Annecy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–23.51 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde27%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți48%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți48% selection probability
Projected score1–2PauAnnecy
Expected goals3.51Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste68% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
27% / 25% / 48%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Șansă dublă1274.9%1.34
Peste 68% · Sub 32%Goals 2.5Peste68%1.47
Da 66% · Nu 34%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa66%1.52
3.51 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Pau win27%3.70
Egal25%4.00
Annecy win48%2.08

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pau1.38

Gazde share of expected goals 39.3%

Total expected goals3.51Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 68% · Sub 32%

Annecy2.13

Oaspeți share of expected goals 60.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 66% · Nu 34%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Pau

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Annecy

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Câștig probability excluding draw
48%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.38
Expected goals
2.13
PauAnnecy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pau signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Annecy signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pau vs Annecy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pau câștig 27%,Egal 25%,Annecy câștig 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Peste 2.5 68% · Current selection Peste