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FRA Franta - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Metz vs Guingamp

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde44%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde44% selection probability
Projected score1–1MetzGuingamp
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
44% / 27% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Șansă dublă1273.1%1.37
Peste 47% · Sub 53%Goals 2.5Sub53%1.89
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metz win44%2.272.0544.6%
Egal27%3.703.4026.9%
Guingamp win29%3.453.2028.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Metz1.41

Gazde share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 47% · Sub 53%

Guingamp1.14

Oaspeți share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Metz

3.00pts / match
Jucate1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Puncte3

SignalGazde unbeaten 1/1

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Guingamp

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.41
Expected goals
1.14
MetzGuingamp
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Metz signalGazde unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guingamp signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Metz vs Guingamp FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Metz câștig 44%,Egal 27%,Guingamp câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Peste 2.5 47% · Current selection Sub