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FRA Frankrike - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Metz vs Guingamp

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger29%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1MetzGuingamp
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 27% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Dubbelchans1273.1%1.37
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metz win44%2.272.0544.6%
Oavgjort27%3.703.4026.9%
Guingamp win29%3.453.2028.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Metz1.41

Hemma share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Guingamp1.14

Borta share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Metz

3.00pts / match
Spelade1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Poäng3

SignalHemma unbeaten 1/1

Borta-context · form sequence

Guingamp

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.41
Expected goals
1.14
MetzGuingamp
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Metz signalHemma unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guingamp signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Metz vs Guingamp FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Metz vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 27%,Guingamp vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under