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FRA Γαλλία - Λιγκ 2 · Round 1 ·

Μετς vs Γκινγκάμπ

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου34%
Baseline forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΜετςΓκινγκάμπ
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω53% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 27% / 34%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.4%1.36
Άνω 47% · Κάτω 53%Goals 2.5Κάτω53%1.89
Ναι 52% · Όχι 48%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μετς win40%2.50
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Γκινγκάμπ win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μετς1.34

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 47% · Κάτω 53%

Γκινγκάμπ1.21

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 52% · Όχι 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μετς

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 1/1

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γκινγκάμπ

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
1
1.34
Expected goals
1.21
ΜετςΓκινγκάμπ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μετς signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γκινγκάμπ signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Μετς vs Γκινγκάμπ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μετς νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Γκινγκάμπ νίκη 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Άνω 2.5 47% · Current selection Κάτω