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FRA Frankrike - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Dunkerque vs Grenoble

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1DunkerqueGrenoble
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 30% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grenoble win (28.3%)Dubbelchans1X71.7%1.39
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 47% · Nej 53%Båda lagen gör målNej53%1.89
2.36 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Dunkerque win42%2.38
Oavgjort30%3.33
Grenoble win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunkerque1.39

Hemma share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

Grenoble0.97

Borta share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nej 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Dunkerque

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Grenoble

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.39
Expected goals
0.97
DunkerqueGrenoble
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunkerque signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grenoble signalHemma won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Dunkerque vs Grenoble FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunkerque vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 30%,Grenoble vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under