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FRA France - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Dunkerque vs Grenoble

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–1DunkerqueGrenoble
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 30% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grenoble win (28.2%)Double chance1X71.8%1.39
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.36 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Dunkerque win42%2.38
Nul30%3.33
Grenoble win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunkerque1.39

Domicile share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Grenoble0.97

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dunkerque

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Grenoble

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.39
Expected goals
0.97
DunkerqueGrenoble
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunkerque signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grenoble signalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Dunkerque vs Grenoble FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunkerque victoire 42%,Nul 30%,Grenoble victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de