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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde38% selection probability
Projected score1–1San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 32% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe win (29.9%)Șansă dublă1X70.1%1.43
Peste 39% · Sub 61%Goals 2.5Sub61%1.64
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Lorenzo win38%2.632.5037.8%+0.2 pp
Egal32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Union Santa Fe win30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Lorenzo1.13

Gazde share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 39% · Sub 61%

Union Santa Fe1.11

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.13
Expected goals
1.11
San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Lorenzo signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Santa Fe signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Lorenzo câștig 38%,Egal 32%,Union Santa Fe câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Peste 2.5 39% · Current selection Sub