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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score1–0Predpoveď 1–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich38%
Remíza32%
Výhra hostí30%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Úspešná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich38% selection probability
Projected score1–1San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej61% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
38% / 32% / 30%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe win (29.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X70.1%1.43
Viac 39% · Menej 61%Goals 2.5Menej61%1.64
Áno 46% · Nie 54%Oba tímy skórujúNie54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Lorenzo win38%2.632.5037.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Union Santa Fe win30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Lorenzo1.13

Domáci share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 39% · Menej 61%

Union Santa Fe1.11

Hostia share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Výhra probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.13
Expected goals
1.11
San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Lorenzo signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Santa Fe signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Lorenzo výhra 38%,Remíza 32%,Union Santa Fe výhra 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Viac 2.5 39% · Current selection Menej