Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 32% / 30%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe win (29.9%)Double chance1X70.1%1.43
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Lorenzo win38%2.632.5037.8%+0.2 pp
Draw32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Union Santa Fe win30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.4%
Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%
Away share of expected goals 49.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSan Lorenzo
LLWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUnion Santa Fe
LWLDL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
30%4
Points from supplied form
41.13
Expected goals
1.11San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
San Lorenzo win 38%，Draw 32%，Union Santa Fe win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.24 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under。