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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 32% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe win (29.9%)Doppelte Chance1X70.1%1.43
Über 39% · Unter 61%Goals 2.5Unter61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Lorenzo win38%2.632.5037.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Union Santa Fe win30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Lorenzo1.13

Heim share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 39% · Unter 61%

Union Santa Fe1.11

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.13
Expected goals
1.11
San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Lorenzo signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Santa Fe signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Lorenzo Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 32%,Union Santa Fe Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Über 2.5 39% · Current selection Unter