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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–0Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy38%
Remis32%
Wygrana gości30%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy38% selection probability
Projected score1–1San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
38% / 32% / 30%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe win (29.9%)Podwójna szansa1X70.1%1.43
Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%Goals 2.5Poniżej61%1.64
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Lorenzo win38%2.632.5037.8%+0.2 pp
Remis32%3.132.9032.6%-0.6 pp
Union Santa Fe win30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Lorenzo1.13

Gospodarze share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%

Union Santa Fe1.11

Goście share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.13
Expected goals
1.11
San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Lorenzo signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Santa Fe signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Lorenzo wygrana 38%,Remis 32%,Union Santa Fe wygrana 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Powyżej 2.5 39% · Current selection Poniżej