Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 35% / 36%Match resultAway win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (29.8%)Double chanceX270.2%1.42
Over 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
1.65 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Newell's win30%3.33
Draw35%2.86
Deportivo Riestra win36%2.78
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 45.5%
Total expected goals1.65Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 23% · Under 77%
Away share of expected goals 54.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchNewell's
LDLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchDeportivo Riestra
WLLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
30%
Win probability excluding draw
36%5
Points from supplied form
70.75
Expected goals
0.90Newell'sDeportivo Riestra
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 35%.
Match questions
Newell's vs Deportivo Riestra FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Newell's win 30%，Draw 35%，Deportivo Riestra win 36%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.65 · Over 2.5 23% · Current selection Under。