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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Meci ·

Newell's vs Deportivo Riestra

Archived pre-match prediction

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.65 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde30%
Egal35%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Newell'sDeportivo Riestra
Expected goals1.65Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub77% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
30% / 35% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (29.8%)Șansă dublăX270.2%1.42
Peste 23% · Sub 77%Goals 2.5Sub77%1.30
Da 32% · Nu 68%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu68%1.47
1.65 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Newell's win30%3.33
Egal35%2.86
Deportivo Riestra win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newell's0.75

Gazde share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.65Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 23% · Sub 77%

Deportivo Riestra0.90

Oaspeți share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 32% · Nu 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Newell's

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
7
0.75
Expected goals
0.90
Newell'sDeportivo Riestra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newell's signalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Riestra signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Newell's vs Deportivo Riestra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newell's câștig 30%,Egal 35%,Deportivo Riestra câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.65 · Peste 2.5 23% · Current selection Sub