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Alcorcón vs Navalcarnero

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa45%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante32%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlcorcónNavalcarnero
Expected goals3.27Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
45% / 23% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Dupla Chance1277.2%1.30
Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%Goals 2.5Acima63%1.59
Sim 64% · Não 36%Ambas as equipes marcamSim64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Alcorcón win45%2.22
Empate23%4.35
Navalcarnero win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alcorcón1.80

Mandante share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.27Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%

Navalcarnero1.47

Visitante share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 64% · Não 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Alcorcón

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Navalcarnero

2.25pts / match
Jogos4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Pontos9

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.80
Expected goals
1.47
AlcorcónNavalcarnero
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alcorcón signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Navalcarnero signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Alcorcón vs Navalcarnero FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alcorcón ganhou 45%,Empate 23%,Navalcarnero ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Acima 2.5 63% · Current selection Acima