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EUR Europe Friendlies · Partido ·

Alcorcón vs Navalcarnero

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local45%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante32%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local45% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlcorcónNavalcarnero
Expected goals3.27Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
45% / 23% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Doble Oportunidad1277.2%1.30
Más de 63% · Menos de 37%Goals 2.5Más de63%1.59
Sí 64% · No 36%Ambos equipos marcan64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Alcorcón win45%2.22
Empate23%4.35
Navalcarnero win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alcorcón1.80

Local share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.27Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 63% · Menos de 37%

Navalcarnero1.47

Visitante share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Alcorcón

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Navalcarnero

2.25pts / match
Jugados4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Puntos9

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.80
Expected goals
1.47
AlcorcónNavalcarnero
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alcorcón signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Navalcarnero signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Alcorcón vs Navalcarnero FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alcorcón ganada 45%,Empate 23%,Navalcarnero ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Más de 2.5 63% · Current selection Más de