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EUR Europe Friendlies · Zápas ·

Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích45%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostů32%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácíchTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích45% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlcorconNavalcarnero
Expected goals3.27Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více63% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
45% / 23% / 32%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Dvojitá šance1277.2%1.30
Více 63% · Méně 37%Goals 2.5Více63%1.59
Ano 64% · Ne 36%Oba týmy skórujíAno64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
8.1 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Alcorcon win45%2.22
Remíza23%4.35
Navalcarnero win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alcorcon1.80

Domácí share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.27Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 63% · Méně 37%

Navalcarnero1.47

Hosté share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 64% · Ne 36%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Alcorcon

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Navalcarnero

2.25pts / match
Odehráno4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Body9

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Výhra probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.80
Expected goals
1.47
AlcorconNavalcarnero
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alcorcon signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Navalcarnero signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Alcorcon vs Navalcarnero FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alcorcon výhra 45%,Remíza 23%,Navalcarnero výhra 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Více 2.5 63% · Current selection Více