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EUR Europe Friendlies · Мач ·

Алкоркон vs Навалкарнеро

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен23%
Победа за госта32%
Baseline forecastПобеда за домакинаTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score2–1АлкорконНавалкарнеро
Expected goals3.28Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над64% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 23% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Двоен шанс1277.2%1.30
Над 64% · Под 36%Goals 2.5Над64%1.56
Да 64% · Не 36%И двата отбора да отбележатДа64%1.56
3.28 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Алкоркон win45%2.22
Равен23%4.35
Навалкарнеро win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алкоркон1.80

Домакин share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.28Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 64% · Под 36%

Навалкарнеро1.48

Гост share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Не 36%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алкоркон

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Навалкарнеро

2.25pts / match
Изиграни4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Точки9

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.80
Expected goals
1.48
АлкорконНавалкарнеро
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алкоркон signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Навалкарнеро signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Алкоркон vs Навалкарнеро FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алкоркон печеливш 45%,Равен 23%,Навалкарнеро печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · Над 2.5 64% · Current selection Над