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CRI Kostaryka - Primera Division · Round 3 ·

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.22 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy25%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości50%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Expected goals3.22Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
25% / 25% / 50%Wynik meczuWygrana gości50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puntarenas win (24.7%)Podwójna szansaX275.3%1.33
Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%Goals 2.5Powyżej63%1.59
Tak 63% · Nie 37%Obie drużyny strzeląTak63%1.59
3.22 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapPuntarenas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puntarenas win25%4.003.7024.5%+0.5 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Saprissa win50%2.001.8050.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puntarenas1.35

Gospodarze share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals3.22Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 63% · Poniżej 37%

Deportivo Saprissa1.87

Goście share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 63% · Nie 37%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Puntarenas

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Deportivo Saprissa

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
50%
2
Points from supplied form
12
1.35
Expected goals
1.87
PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puntarenas signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Saprissa signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puntarenas wygrana 25%,Remis 25%,Deportivo Saprissa wygrana 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Powyżej 2.5 63% · Current selection Powyżej