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CRI Kostarika - Primera Division · Round 3 ·

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–23.22 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich25%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí50%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Expected goals3.22Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac63% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
25% / 25% / 50%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puntarenas win (24.7%)Dvojitá šancaX275.3%1.33
Viac 63% · Menej 37%Goals 2.5Viac63%1.59
Áno 63% · Nie 37%Oba tímy skórujúÁno63%1.59
3.22 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
9.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapPuntarenas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puntarenas win25%4.003.7024.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Saprissa win50%2.001.8050.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puntarenas1.35

Domáci share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals3.22Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 63% · Menej 37%

Deportivo Saprissa1.87

Hostia share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 63% · Nie 37%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Puntarenas

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Deportivo Saprissa

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Výhra probability excluding draw
50%
2
Points from supplied form
12
1.35
Expected goals
1.87
PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puntarenas signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Saprissa signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puntarenas výhra 25%,Remíza 25%,Deportivo Saprissa výhra 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Viac 2.5 63% · Current selection Viac