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CRI Costa Rica - Primera Division · Round 3 ·

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.22 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr25%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr50%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Expected goals3.22Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
25% / 25% / 50%KampresultatUdesejr50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puntarenas win (24.7%)DobbeltchanceX275.3%1.33
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapPuntarenas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puntarenas win25%4.003.7024.5%+0.5 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Saprissa win50%2.001.8050.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puntarenas1.35

Hjemme share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals3.22Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Deportivo Saprissa1.87

Ude share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Puntarenas

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Deportivo Saprissa

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vundet probability excluding draw
50%
2
Points from supplied form
12
1.35
Expected goals
1.87
PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puntarenas signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Saprissa signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puntarenas vundet 25%,Uafgjort 25%,Deportivo Saprissa vundet 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over