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CRI Costa Rica - Primera Division · Round 3 ·

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.22 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg25%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg50%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Expected goals3.22Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
25% / 25% / 50%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puntarenas win (24.7%)Doppelte ChanceX275.3%1.33
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.22 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapPuntarenas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puntarenas win25%4.003.7024.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Saprissa win50%2.001.8050.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puntarenas1.35

Heim share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals3.22Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Deportivo Saprissa1.87

Auswärts share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Puntarenas

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Deportivo Saprissa

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
50%
2
Points from supplied form
12
1.35
Expected goals
1.87
PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puntarenas signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Saprissa signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puntarenas Gewinn 25%,Unentschieden 25%,Deportivo Saprissa Gewinn 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über