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INT Australië - Queensland - Premier League 3 · Wedstrijd ·

Newmarket vs Yeronga FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–24.52 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst72%
Gelijkspel15%
Uitwinst13%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst72% selection probability
Projected score3–2NewmarketYeronga FC
Expected goals4.52Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven83% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
72% / 15% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Yeronga FC win (12.9%)Dubbele Kans1X87.1%1.15
Boven 83% · Onder 17%Goals 2.5Boven83%1.20
Ja 79% · Nee 21%Beide teams scorenJa79%1.27
4.52 total expected goalsExacte score3–2
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapNewmarket winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newmarket win72%1.391.2273.6%-1.6 pp
Gelijkspel15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Yeronga FC win13%7.697.5012%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newmarket2.62

Thuis share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals4.52Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 83% · Onder 17%

Yeronga FC1.90

Uit share of expected goals 42%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 79% · Nee 21%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Newmarket

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Yeronga FC

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
15
Points from supplied form
10
2.62
Expected goals
1.90
NewmarketYeronga FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newmarket signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yeronga FC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Newmarket vs Yeronga FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–2 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newmarket gewonnen 72%,Gelijkspel 15%,Yeronga FC gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.52 · Boven 2.5 83% · Current selection Boven