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INT Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · Fixture ·

Newmarket vs Yeronga FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–24.52 expected goals
Away form
Home win72%
Draw15%
Away win13%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win72% selection probability
Projected score3–2NewmarketYeronga FC
Expected goals4.52Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over83% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
72% / 15% / 13%Match resultHome win72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Yeronga FC win (12.9%)Double chance1X87.1%1.15
Over 83% · Under 17%Goals 2.5Over83%1.20
Yes 79% · No 21%Both teams scoreYes79%1.27
4.52 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapNewmarket winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newmarket win72%1.391.2273.6%-1.6 pp
Draw15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Yeronga FC win13%7.697.5012%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newmarket2.62

Home share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals4.52Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 83% · Under 17%

Yeronga FC1.90

Away share of expected goals 42%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 79% · No 21%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Newmarket

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Yeronga FC

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
15
Points from supplied form
10
2.62
Expected goals
1.90
NewmarketYeronga FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newmarket signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yeronga FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Newmarket vs Yeronga FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newmarket win 72%,Draw 15%,Yeronga FC win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.52 · Over 2.5 83% · Current selection Over