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INT Αυστραλία - Κουίνσλαντ - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ 3 · Αγώνας ·

Newmarket vs Γερόνγκα ΦΚ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–24.52 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου72%
Ισοπαλία15%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου13%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου72% selection probability
Projected score3–2NewmarketΓερόνγκα ΦΚ
Expected goals4.52Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω83% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
72% / 15% / 13%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γερόνγκα ΦΚ win (12.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X87.1%1.15
Άνω 83% · Κάτω 17%Goals 2.5Άνω83%1.20
Ναι 79% · Όχι 21%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι79%1.27
4.52 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–2
9.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapNewmarket winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newmarket win72%1.391.2273.6%-1.6 pp
Ισοπαλία15%6.676.2514.4%+0.6 pp
Γερόνγκα ΦΚ win13%7.697.5012%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newmarket2.62

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals4.52Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 83% · Κάτω 17%

Γερόνγκα ΦΚ1.90

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 42%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitΝαι 79% · Όχι 21%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Newmarket

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι15

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γερόνγκα ΦΚ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
13%
15
Points from supplied form
10
2.62
Expected goals
1.90
NewmarketΓερόνγκα ΦΚ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newmarket signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γερόνγκα ΦΚ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Newmarket vs Γερόνγκα ΦΚ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–2 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newmarket νίκη 72%,Ισοπαλία 15%,Γερόνγκα ΦΚ νίκη 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.52 · Άνω 2.5 83% · Current selection Άνω