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USA USA USL Championship · Wedstrijd ·

Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst32%
Gelijkspel32%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
32% / 32% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Dubbele Kans1268%1.47
Boven 34% · Onder 66%Goals 2.5Onder66%1.52
Ja 42% · Nee 58%Beide teams scorenNee58%1.72
2.05 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Indy Eleven win32%3.13
Gelijkspel32%3.13
Hartford Athletic win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Indy Eleven0.98

Thuis share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 34% · Onder 66%

Hartford Athletic1.07

Uit share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nee 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Indy Eleven

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hartford Athletic

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
2
0.98
Expected goals
1.07
Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Indy Eleven signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hartford Athletic signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Indy Eleven gewonnen 32%,Gelijkspel 32%,Hartford Athletic gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Boven 2.5 34% · Current selection Onder