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USA USA USL Championship · Meci ·

Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde32%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub66% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
32% / 32% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Șansă dublă1268%1.47
Peste 34% · Sub 66%Goals 2.5Sub66%1.52
Da 42% · Nu 58%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58%1.72
2.05 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Indy Eleven win32%3.13
Egal32%3.13
Hartford Athletic win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Indy Eleven0.98

Gazde share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 34% · Sub 66%

Hartford Athletic1.07

Oaspeți share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 42% · Nu 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Indy Eleven

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Hartford Athletic

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
2
0.98
Expected goals
1.07
Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Indy Eleven signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hartford Athletic signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Indy Eleven câștig 32%,Egal 32%,Hartford Athletic câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Peste 2.5 34% · Current selection Sub