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USA USA USL Championship · Partida ·

Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa32%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante36%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo66% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
32% / 32% / 36%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Dupla Chance1268%1.47
Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%Goals 2.5Abaixo66%1.52
Sim 42% · Não 58%Ambas as equipes marcamNão58%1.72
2.05 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Indy Eleven win32%3.13
Empate32%3.13
Hartford Athletic win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Indy Eleven0.98

Mandante share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%

Hartford Athletic1.07

Visitante share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 42% · Não 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Indy Eleven

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Hartford Athletic

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
2
0.98
Expected goals
1.07
Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Indy Eleven signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hartford Athletic signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Indy Eleven ganhou 32%,Empate 32%,Hartford Athletic ganhou 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Acima 2.5 34% · Current selection Abaixo