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USA USA USL Championship · Partida ·

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa52%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante23%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Tampa Bay RowdiesIndy Eleven
Expected goals3.22Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
52% / 25% / 23%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Indy Eleven win (22.9%)Dupla Chance1X77.1%1.30
Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%Goals 2.5Acima63%1.59
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
3.22 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Tampa Bay Rowdies win52%1.92
Empate25%4.00
Indy Eleven win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tampa Bay Rowdies2.13

Mandante share of expected goals 66.1%

Total expected goals3.22Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%

Indy Eleven1.09

Visitante share of expected goals 33.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Tampa Bay Rowdies

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Indy Eleven

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.13
Expected goals
1.09
Tampa Bay RowdiesIndy Eleven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tampa Bay Rowdies signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Indy Eleven signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tampa Bay Rowdies ganhou 52%,Empate 25%,Indy Eleven ganhou 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Acima 2.5 63% · Current selection Acima