Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 25% / 23%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Indy Eleven win (22.9%)Double chance1X77.1%1.30
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Tampa Bay Rowdies win52%1.92
Draw25%4.00
Indy Eleven win23%4.35
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.1%
Total expected goals3.22Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%
Away share of expected goals 33.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchTampa Bay Rowdies
WWDLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchIndy Eleven
LLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
52%
Win probability excluding draw
23%10
Points from supplied form
32.13
Expected goals
1.09Tampa Bay RowdiesIndy Eleven
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Tampa Bay Rowdies win 52%，Draw 25%，Indy Eleven win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over。