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USA USA USL Championship · Wedstrijd ·

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Tampa Bay RowdiesIndy Eleven
Expected goals3.22Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 25% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Indy Eleven win (22.9%)Dubbele Kans1X77.1%1.30
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
3.22 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Tampa Bay Rowdies win52%1.92
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Indy Eleven win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tampa Bay Rowdies2.13

Thuis share of expected goals 66.1%

Total expected goals3.22Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Indy Eleven1.09

Uit share of expected goals 33.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Tampa Bay Rowdies

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Indy Eleven

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.13
Expected goals
1.09
Tampa Bay RowdiesIndy Eleven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tampa Bay Rowdies signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Indy Eleven signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tampa Bay Rowdies gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 25%,Indy Eleven gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven