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USA USA USL Championship · Αγώνας ·

Ίντι Ιλέβεν vs Χάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου32%
Ισοπαλία32%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου36%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ίντι ΙλέβενΧάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
32% / 32% / 36%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1268%1.47
Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%Goals 2.5Κάτω66%1.52
Ναι 42% · Όχι 58%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58%1.72
2.05 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ίντι Ιλέβεν win32%3.13
Ισοπαλία32%3.13
Χάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ίντι Ιλέβεν0.98

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%

Χάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ1.07

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 42% · Όχι 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ίντι Ιλέβεν

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Χάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
2
0.98
Expected goals
1.07
Ίντι ΙλέβενΧάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ίντι Ιλέβεν signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Χάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Ίντι Ιλέβεν vs Χάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ίντι Ιλέβεν νίκη 32%,Ισοπαλία 32%,Χάρτφορντ Αθλέτικ νίκη 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Άνω 2.5 34% · Current selection Κάτω