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NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Final ·

VVV-Venlo vs Heracles

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–4Voorspelling 2–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst40%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst40% selection probability
Projected score2–2VVV-VenloHeracles
Expected goals3.09Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 25% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.09 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
VVV-Venlo win35%2.862.7534.1%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7525%
Heracles win40%2.502.3040.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VVV-Venlo1.54

Thuis share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals3.09Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Heracles1.55

Uit share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

VVV-Venlo

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Heracles

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
1.55
VVV-VenloHeracles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VVV-Venlo signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Heracles signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

VVV-Venlo vs Heracles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VVV-Venlo gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 25%,Heracles gewonnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven